Dollar Sets 2018 Highs on Jitters Over Iran, Italy

By Reuters

NEW YORK—The dollar advanced on Tuesday to its highest level of 2018 against a basket of currencies on safe-haven buying, as investors worried about the fate of the Iran nuclear deal and political turmoil in Italy.

Recent data showing Europe’s economic growth was slowing caused traders to cut bullish bets on euro and to scale back their outlook for European interest rate hikes in 2019.

“The top focus point today is with Iran. There’s also a political wind blowing across Europe,” said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington. “Everything is pointing to further strengthen the dollar.”

U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to make an announcement at 2 p.m. (1800 GMT) on the nuclear deal, which eased economic sanctions in exchange for Tehran limiting its nuclear program. Commodity-linked and emerging market currencies slid on worries about a possible U.S. withdrawal, which would hit risk appetite in financial markets.

At 10:38 a.m. (1438 GMT), an index that tracks the greenback versus the euro, yen, sterling and six other currencies <.DXY> hit 93.280, its highest since December. It was last up 0.5 percent at 93.212.

The dollar index had been down year to date but in three weeks it has gained over 4 percent, erasing that loss.

Expectations for more U.S. interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve have underpinned the dollar’s rebound despite soft U.S. domestic data, analysts said.

Thursday’s U.S. consumer price index for April should show whether inflation is approaching the Fed’s 2 percent goal.

“We have to wait for the inflation data which would be telling for the dollar,” Manimbo said.

The euro has declined to its weakest level since late December. It was down about 0.6 percent to $1.1852 <EUR=> and 129.49 yen <EURJPY=>, Reuters data showed.

On Monday, Italy’s two largest parties resisted President Sergio Mattarella’s call to rally behind a “neutral government.”

The pound declined to $1.3485 <GBP=D3>, its lowest since Jan. 11, Bank of England policy makers meet on Thursday, and are expected to leave interest rates unchanged.

Among commodity-linked currencies, the Australian dollar <AUD=D4> fell 1 percent to $0.7441 after touching an 11-month low.

By Richard Leong

 

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